A Closer Look at the Market Approach
There are three approaches to valuing a business: the asset, market and income approaches.
In this article, we focus on the market approach, which the International Glossary of Business Valuation Terms defines as:
A general way of determining a value indication of a business, business ownership interest, security, or intangible asset by using one or more methods that compare the subject to similar businesses, business ownership interests, securities, or intangible assets that have been sold.
Common Market Approach Methods
Two methods generally fall under the market approach umbrella:
1. Guideline Public Company Method. This method derives pricing multiples from publicly traded stock prices of companies that are engaged in the same or similar lines of business. It is often used to value larger private firms.
One advantage of using public stock prices is the abundance of relevant financial data. More than 16,000 companies file reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Adjustments should be made to pricing multiples if the subject company differs significantly from the guideline comparable companies in terms of size, growth, risk and financial performance. Company financial information also may require adjustment for unusual or nonrecurring items, as well as for differences in accounting practices between the subject company and its comparables.
Industry classification codes often come to mind first when choosing comparables. But sometimes the most comparable firms will sell different products but experience similar supply and demand forces or face similar risk factors.
For example, when valuing a marine contractor, it may be necessary to include construction and engineering contractors to obtain a representative sample of guideline public comparables, because so few marine contractors are publicly traded.
2. Guideline Merger and Acquisition Method.This method derives pricing multiples from sales of entire companies engaged in the same or similar lines of business. Some guideline transactions involve controlling interests in public companies, but most involve private firms, which are not required to publish their transactions to the SEC. Instead, the sales are recorded in private transaction databases.
When using these databases, appraisers should understand exactly what’s sold (assets, equity or invested capital) and the terms of the deal (such as installment payments, earnouts, non-competes or employment agreements).
Appraisers also need to know exactly how each database defines financial terms. For example, earnings could mean net income; pretax operating income; sellers’ discretionary cash flow (SDCF); or earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization expenses (EBITDA).
Mixing comparables from multiple transaction databases can result in duplicate transactions. Or it might result in apples-to-oranges comparisons, if the appraiser doesn’t understand how the database defines financial terms or what’s included in (or excluded from) the selling price.
Regardless of whether an appraiser uses the guideline public company or guideline merger and acquisition method, the market approach derives pricing multiples from guideline comparable transactions. These pricing multiples are adjusted and applied to the subject company’s future earnings.
In other words, the market approach establishes a relationship between the selling price and some financial metric. The most familiar multiple for a layperson to imagine is price-to-earnings. But a closer look reveals that “price” and “earnings” can refer to very different numbers in a transaction. Selling price could include only assets, equity or invested capital (both debt and equity financing). In turn, the price could be related to a variety of financial metrics, such as:
- Net income
- Pretax income
- Earnings before interest and taxes (EBT)
- Invested capital (or equity) net free cash flow, or
- Book value.
A picture is worth 1,000 words. So valuators often use graphs to illustrate the relationship between price and the guideline companies’ financial metrics. Statistics can help demonstrate which pricing multiples are the most reliable, based on their standard deviations, coefficients of variance and other statistical measures. The appropriate pricing multiple varies depending on the unique attributes of the subject company, industry value drivers—and your appraiser’s professional judgment.
Easy in Theory, Complex in Practice
Courts often prefer the market approach for its perceived simplicity and objectivity. But a closer look at how the market approach works reveals that it requires many subjective judgment calls. Your appraiser must decide which method works better: the guideline public company or guideline merger and acquisition method. In addition, subjectivity factors into the market approach when making adjustments to financial statements and pricing multiples—and when picking selection criteria and pricing multiples.
Such complexity makes do-it-yourself appraisals perilous. Instead, work with a credentialed appraiser who will carefully research and analyze public and private market data to arrive at an acceptable estimate of value. For more information contact Bill Allen at Brisbane Consulting Group.
Regardless of whether they are publicly traded or privately held, guideline comparables should be both similar and relevant.
“Similar” means that comparables share attributes with the subject company such as:
- Size and growth,
- Products and markets served,
- Geographic location,
- Management depth and
- Financial performance (profitability, liquidity, leverage, asset management)
A transaction is “relevant” if the desires and expectations of investors are similar, including:
- Risk tolerance,
- Liquidity of investment,
- Management involvement and
- Probable holding period.
When selecting comparable, courts often look beyond Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) or North American Industry Classification (NAICS) codes. In an uncertain market, transaction date may also be a relevant selection criterion.
WILLIAM P. ALLEN, CPA/ABV, CFE
Bill is a member of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants accredited in Business Valuations (ABV); a Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE) accredited by the Association of Certified Fraud Examiners; and the New York State Society of Certified Public Accountants. He has more than 5 years’ experience in public accounting serving both commercial businesses and nonprofit organizations. As a member of the Brisbane team, Bill is responsible for valuation, forensic accounting, and litigation support services. Bill is a graduate of Le Moyne College and has worked with our Firm since graduating in 2006.